HYDROPOLITICAL HOTSPOTS IN SOUTHERN AFRICA:
WILL THERE BE A WATER WAR?

AFRICAN DIALOGUE LECTURE SERIES

24 FEBRUARY 2000

AFRICAN WATER ISSUES RESEARCH UNIT, UNIVERSITY OF PRETORIA

JOINTLY SPONSORED BY GREEN CROSS INTERNATIONAL &
ACCORD, THE AFRICAN CENTRE FOR CONSTRUCTIVE RESOLUTION OF DISPUTES

Southern Africa has experienced some dramatic changes in the past decade with the dismantling of the bi-polar world and the end of the Apartheid regime, both of which had drawn barriers across the region. In this new political environment there are also new security issues to be considered. One of these is undoubtedly the impending fresh water crisis caused by both the scarcity and uneven distribution of the region's surface water - 70% of which is shared by two or more states.

The disparity in accessing water that is in many cases shared across national boundaries is already a source of tension between states and many believe it will lead to violent conflict - but this water is also, and more often, the source of cooperation.

The availability of water is a cardinal factor in the survival and development of states and peoples. Of the estimated regional average of 152 cubic meters of water required by each of the 145 million inhabitants of Southern Africa, South Africans and Mauritanians each use 420 cubic meters, while in Malawi average use is only 20 cubic meters per capita per year. A redistribution is needed on a regional basis to mend these imbalances, and states which have had more of a "head start" in their exploitation of shared water resources need to recognise the growing needs of others. In addition, we are of course not only talking about water scarcity. Abundance of water, at the wrong time, can be even more destructive than its absence - as we have tragically seen in the past weeks in Mozambique and elsewhere in the region. The regional efforts which are currently being undertaken in Southern Africa to help a neighbour in a time of emergency are a positive sign and have raised everyone's awareness that water-related problems cannot be left to be solved by individual countries, particularly poor, downstream countries, on their own. Regional solidarity is needed for the prevention of crises as well as during emergency relief.

Cooperation is the key - and must be strengthened - as individual and uncoordinated action by the region's countries is likely to result in conflict over water. Joint anticipatory action both to improve, and make fairer, the management and use of watercourses, and to establish dispute-resolution/prevention mechanisms, will ensure that shared water is viewed as an opportunity for cooperation and growth rather than a cause of conflict, especially in a region which has already suffered so much from violence and poverty.

This workshop was held to assist the sharing of information and ideas among the states and peoples of the region, and as a precursor to the Water for Peace in Southern Africa panel debate to be held by Green Cross International at the World Water Forum in the Hague on Monday 20 March 2000. It was organised by the African Water Issues Research Unit of the University of Pretoria, and jointly sponsored by Green Cross International and ACCORD, the African Centre for the Constructive Resolution of Disputes. The papers presented are reproduced in the Water for Peace in the Middle East and Southern Africa collection to be distributed by GCI at the World Water Forum, and will also appear in a joint GCI-ACCORD monograph to be published later this year.

Hydropolitical Hotspots in Southern Africa, Agenda

Water for Peace in the Middle East and Southern Africa

African Water Issues Research Unit
http://www.up.ac.za/academic/libarts/polsci/awiru/

ACCORD
http://www.accord.org.za



© GCI, March 2000 / Green Cross International / Geneva / Switzerland